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What will independent sources conclude about North Korean soldiers' involvement in the Ukraine conflict by March 31, 2025?
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Volodymyr Zelensky•Ukrainian•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Kyiv•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Korean•English•Russian•Tactical Group 84•Special Operations Forces•Zelensky•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed involvement • 25%
No confirmed involvement • 25%
Partial involvement confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Reports from independent investigative bodies or credible international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Captures Two Wounded North Korean Soldiers; Zelensky Opens Access to Journalists
Jan 11, 2025, 12:14 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian forces have captured two North Korean soldiers in Russia's Kursk region. The soldiers were wounded but survived and have been transported to Kyiv, where they are communicating with investigators from the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) through Korean translators, as they do not speak Ukrainian, English, or Russian. One soldier was captured on January 9 by Tactical Group 84 of the Special Operations Forces, and the other by Ukrainian paratroopers. Zelensky stated that this was a challenging task, as Russian and North Korean forces often prevent wounded soldiers from being captured to conceal their involvement. He has instructed the SBU to allow journalists access to the prisoners to reveal the participation of another state in the war against Ukraine.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support for North Korea • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%