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What will happen to the polling lead between Trump and Harris before the 2024 election?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump increases lead • 25%
Harris closes gap • 25%
Lead remains unchanged • 25%
Harris takes lead • 25%
Polling data from reputable sources such as Gallup, Pew Research, or RealClearPolitics
Story
Trump Leads Harris by 6 Points, Expands to 8-Point Lead in 2024 Election with 22 Days Remaining
Oct 15, 2024, 12:39 PM
Donald Trump has achieved his largest lead in the 2024 presidential election against Kamala Harris, according to data from the prediction market Kalshi. As of October 13, Trump leads Harris by 6 percentage points, marking a significant shift in the political betting landscape. Over the past few days, Trump's lead has reportedly expanded to as much as 8 percentage points. Additionally, on Polymarket, Trump's odds have increased, showing a lead over Harris that has expanded to more than 13%. These developments suggest a strong movement in betting markets favoring Trump as the election approaches, with only 22 days remaining until the election.
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Trump maintains lead • 25%
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