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What will be the overall poll standings between Trump and Harris by Election Day 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump leads by 1-5 points • 25%
Harris leads by 1-5 points • 25%
Trump leads by 6+ points • 25%
Harris leads by 6+ points • 25%
Average of major poll aggregators (e.g., FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics)
Story
New Polls Show Trump's 6-Point Lead Over Harris Post-Debate
Sep 13, 2024, 04:17 PM
New polling indicates that the recent debate had a small impact on the standings of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump with less than two months until Election Day. According to a post-debate poll by Redfield & Wilton, Harris holds 44% of the vote while Trump has 42%, with no significant change from the previous poll on August 29. The poll surveyed 2,500 respondents on September 12. Trump posted a confidential campaign memo revealing he gained 2 points after the debate. Additionally, Rasmussen Reports' daily tracker shows Trump has a 6-point lead over Harris post-debate. Opinions on the debate performance are mixed, with some commentators believing Trump won, while others argue Harris was more effective in discussing economic issues. Trump holds a 23-point edge over Harris on immigration and has picked up two points on the economy. Trump is campaigning in Western states, while Harris focuses on Pennsylvania.
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Trump +3 or higher • 25%
Trump +1 to +2 • 25%
Tie • 25%
Harris +1 or higher • 25%
Trump leading by more than 5 points • 25%
Harris leading by more than 5 points • 25%
Trump leading by 5 points or less • 25%
Harris leading by 5 points or less • 25%
Trump increases lead • 25%
Harris closes gap • 25%
Lead remains unchanged • 25%
Harris takes lead • 25%
Trump, Harris • 25%
Harris, Trump • 25%
Trump, Other • 25%
Harris, Other • 25%
Kamala Harris leads by 5 points or more • 25%
Kamala Harris leads by less than 5 points • 25%
Donald Trump leads by less than 5 points • 25%
Donald Trump leads by 5 points or more • 25%
Trump maintains lead • 25%
Harris takes lead • 25%
Lead fluctuates frequently • 25%
Polls remain tied • 25%
Harris leads by more than 5 points • 25%
Harris leads by 5 points or less • 25%
Trump leads by 5 points or less • 25%
Trump leads by more than 5 points • 25%
Harris leads by 5% or more • 25%
Harris leads by less than 5% • 25%
Trump leads by less than 5% • 25%
Trump leads by 5% or more • 25%
