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Market
What will be China's response to U.S. military aid to Taiwan by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Other retaliatory measures • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government and credible news reports
Story
Biden Approves $571 Million Military Aid Package for Taiwan and $265 Million Arms Sales Amid Rising Tensions with China
Dec 21, 2024, 08:47 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden has approved a military aid package worth $571.3 million for Taiwan, as confirmed by the White House. This decision comes as Biden prepares to leave office ahead of the inauguration of Donald Trump in January. The aid package is part of ongoing U.S. support for Taiwan amid rising tensions with China. In addition to the military assistance, the U.S. State Department has also approved potential sales of military equipment to Taiwan, valued at approximately $265 million. The Chinese government has strongly criticized the U.S. decision, stating that it violates the 'one China principle' and has lodged formal protests against the military assistance and arms sales. A Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson warned that such actions are akin to 'playing with fire' and will have serious repercussions for U.S.-China relations.
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Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhancement of defense infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Cyber operations • 25%
Increase own military drills • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Issue diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Resume nuclear arms talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%