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What will be the Western allies' response to Ukraine's independent military operations by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Ukraine • 25%
Reduced support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Western governments or credible news sources
Story
Ukraine Conducted Kursk Operation Secretly, Western Allies Not Notified, Zelensky Confirms
Aug 19, 2024, 07:47 PM
Ukraine's recent military operation in Russia's Kursk Oblast was conducted without prior notification to Western allies, according to President Volodymyr Zelensky. The operation, led by Ukraine's top commander Aleksandr Syrsky, was planned in July amid pressure from Russia's offensive in Donbas. Syrsky shared plans only with a few officials and President Zelensky. Zelensky stated that the secrecy was necessary to prevent leaks and avoid foreign influence, as many would have considered the operation unrealistic and a breach of Russia's 'red lines'. The world only learned of the operation after it occurred, highlighting Ukraine's strategic decision to maintain confidentiality.
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Provide military aid • 25%
Impose sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic measures only • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
UN Intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Launches major counteroffensive • 25%
Seeks international military aid • 25%
Negotiates peace talks • 25%
Continues current strategy • 25%
Continued support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Reduced support • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic pressure on Russia for de-escalation • 25%
Sanctions or economic measures against Russia • 25%
No significant change in international response • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Calls for peace negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Approve • 33%
Deny • 33%
No decision made • 34%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%