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What will be the U.S. recognition status of Nicolás Maduro's presidency by the end of 2025?
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United States•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Diosdado Cabello•Vladimir Padrino López•European Union•United Kingdom•Canada•Maduro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognized • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Conditional recognition • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
U.S. Raises Reward for Maduro and Cabello to $25 Million, Offers $15 Million for Padrino López
Jan 10, 2025, 03:57 PM
On Friday, the United States increased the reward for information leading to the arrest or conviction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to $25 million, the maximum allowed, citing charges of narcotics trafficking. The reward for Diosdado Cabello, Minister of Interior, was also raised to $25 million, and a $15 million reward was offered for Vladimir Padrino López, the Minister of Defense. The U.S. coordinated with the European Union, United Kingdom, and Canada to impose new sanctions on eight Venezuelan officials linked to Maduro's regime. The U.S. government did not recognize Maduro's inauguration for a third six-year term, denouncing it as illegitimate.
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Recognition status remains largely unchanged • 25%
More countries withdraw recognition • 25%
Other diplomatic changes • 25%
More countries recognize Maduro • 25%
Partially recognized • 25%
Widely recognized • 25%
Other • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
None of the above • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Maduro steps down voluntarily • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro ousted by force • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
Other • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%