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What will be the U.S. government's reaction to the leaked Israeli plans by March 31, 2025?
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CIA•Israel•Iran•Rahman•Phnom Penh•Cambodia•Virginia•Espionage Act•Telegram•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•FBI•Guam•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Sanctions on Iran • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Official Action • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or reliable news reports
Story
CIA Official Asif Rahman Charged With Leaking Israeli Strike Plans Against Iran
Nov 13, 2024, 02:16 PM
Federal prosecutors have charged a CIA official, Asif W. Rahman, with leaking classified documents that appeared to show Israel's plans to retaliate against Iran for a missile attack earlier this year. Rahman allegedly accessed the classified document on October 17 in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, where he worked overseas for the CIA with top-secret security clearance. He was indicted last week in federal court in Virginia on two counts of willful retention and transmission of national defense information under the Espionage Act. The leaked documents reportedly revealed Israel's military preparations for a potential strike against Iran and circulated on Telegram channels linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Rahman was arrested by the FBI on Tuesday in Cambodia and brought to a federal court in Guam to face charges. He is due to make his first court appearance, and the Justice Department's charges were unsealed on Wednesday.
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
Security policy changes • 25%
Strengthened U.S. ties • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Call for restraint • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation of the leak • 25%
Call for diplomatic resolution • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
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Strengthened cooperation • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Public disagreement • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Policy overhaul • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Other response • 25%
UN condemns the leak • 25%
UN calls for investigation • 25%
No formal UN response • 25%
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Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
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UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN sanctions on Iran • 25%
UN calls for negotiations • 25%
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No official response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military readiness escalation • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military strike on Iran • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%