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What will be the US defense spending as GDP percentage by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase to 5% or more • 25%
Increase to 4-4.9% • 25%
Remain at 3.5% • 25%
Decrease below 3.5% • 25%
US government budget reports or defense spending statements
Story
Trump to Demand NATO Allies Spend 5% of GDP on Defense, May Settle for 3.5%, Will Continue Ukraine Aid
Dec 20, 2024, 05:21 PM
Donald Trump's team has informed European officials that the incoming US president will demand NATO member states increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP, according to the Financial Times. Trump's team indicated he may settle for a 3.5% target. The US currently spends 3.5% on defense, while Poland is close to the proposed target, spending 4.7%. At present, only 23 of NATO's 32 members meet the existing 2% target. Despite advocating for an immediate end to the conflict and opposing Ukraine's NATO membership, Trump plans to continue supplying military aid to Ukraine after his inauguration.
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2.3% or less • 25%
3.5% or more • 25%
Between 3.0% and 3.4% • 25%
Between 2.4% and 2.9% • 25%
Above 3% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
2.5% to 3% • 25%
2% to 2.5% • 25%
3% to 4% • 25%
Less than 2% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
More than 4% • 25%
3% to 4% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
Below 2% • 25%
2% to 3% • 25%
Above 4% • 25%
3% to 4% • 25%
2% or less • 25%
More than 3% • 25%
3% • 25%
2.5% • 25%
More than 15% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
UK • 25%
6.5% to 7.5% • 25%
More than 7.5% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
5% to 6.4% • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Increase but less than 3% of GDP • 25%
Increase to 3% of GDP • 25%