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What will be the total additional penalties imposed on Elon Musk's companies in Brazil by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No additional penalties • 25%
Up to $1 million in penalties • 25%
$1 million to $5 million in penalties • 25%
More than $5 million in penalties • 25%
Public announcements from Brazil's Supreme Court or other official legal documents
Story
Brazil Lifts Block on Starlink and X Accounts After $3.31 Million Fine Payment to Justice de Moraes
Sep 13, 2024, 06:21 PM
Brazil's Supreme Court has lifted the blockages on the bank accounts of Elon Musk's companies, Starlink and X, after the companies paid fines totaling 18.35 million reais ($3.31 million). The fines were imposed by Justice Alexandre de Moraes for failing to remove content as ordered by the court. The funds, which included R$7.28M from X and R$11.07M from Starlink, were transferred to Brazil's national coffers, leading to the unfreezing of the accounts. The court had previously ordered the suspension of X's operations in Brazil on August 30, but this decision was reversed following the payment.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fines fully paid • 25%
Fines partially paid • 25%
Fines not paid • 25%
Other • 25%
X complies and resumes operations • 25%
X remains suspended • 25%
X exits Brazilian market • 25%
Other • 25%
Monetary fines • 33%
Operational restrictions • 33%
Both monetary fines and operational restrictions • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Issue fines • 25%
Impose additional restrictions • 25%
No additional actions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Less than $10 million • 25%
$10 million to $50 million • 25%
$50 million to $100 million • 25%
More than $100 million • 25%
Increased free internet access • 25%
Legal counteraction • 25%
Public campaign • 25%
No further action • 25%
Musk wins • 25%
Musk loses • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%