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What will be the outcome of the legal standoff between Elon Musk and Brazilian authorities by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
X complies and resumes operations • 25%
X remains suspended • 25%
X exits Brazilian market • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Brazilian Supreme Court, X, or other credible news sources
Story
Brazil Supreme Court Suspends Elon Musk's X Over Legal Compliance
Aug 30, 2024, 08:19 PM
Brazil's Supreme Court has ordered the immediate suspension of Elon Musk's social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter, in the country. This decision was made after Musk failed to comply with a legal order to appoint a legal representative for the platform in Brazil. The ruling was issued by Judge Alexandre de Moraes, highlighting the ongoing legal standoff between Musk and Brazilian authorities. The suspension is part of a broader effort by the Brazilian judiciary to enforce compliance with national regulations for foreign tech companies operating within its borders.
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Musk wins • 25%
Musk loses • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
X operations suspended • 25%
Musk appoints new legal representative • 25%
Musk complies with censorship requests • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, Starlink assets remain frozen • 25%
Ban lifted, Starlink assets released • 25%
Ban upheld, Starlink assets released • 25%
Ban lifted, Starlink assets remain frozen • 25%
Musk wins • 25%
Brazil wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Musk complies and suspension is lifted • 25%
Musk does not comply and suspension remains • 25%
Musk complies but suspension remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Musk wins case • 25%
de Moraes wins case • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Musk appoints legal representative and suspension is lifted • 25%
Musk does not appoint legal representative and suspension remains • 25%
Musk appoints legal representative but suspension remains • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Appoints new legal representative • 33%
Operations suspended • 33%
Partial compliance • 33%
