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What will be the Supreme Court's decision on the Texas age verification law by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Uphold the law • 33%
Strike down the law • 33%
Remand to lower court • 34%
Official Supreme Court decision publication
Story
Supreme Court to Hear Free Speech Coalition's Challenge to Texas Age Verification Law for Pornographic Websites
Jan 15, 2025, 03:50 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on a Texas law that requires age verification for accessing pornographic websites, marking a significant legal battle over free speech and child protection. The law, enacted in 2023, mandates that websites with more than one-third of content deemed 'sexual material harmful to minors' must verify the age of visitors using digital identification or government-issued ID. The Free Speech Coalition, representing the adult entertainment industry, challenges the law, arguing it infringes on adults' First Amendment rights by imposing burdensome verification processes. Texas defends the law as necessary to protect children from accessing harmful content online. The case has drawn attention from 18 other states with similar laws and has led to major pornography websites like Pornhub blocking access in Texas. The Supreme Court's decision could impact the future of online content regulation across the U.S.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mixed reaction • 25%
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Majority oppose the decision • 25%
Low public interest • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
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Rule in favor of Free Speech Coalition • 25%
More than 10 states repeal similar laws • 25%
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Uphold the law • 25%
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Remand for further consideration • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Decrease in states with bans • 33%
No change • 34%
Increase in states with bans • 33%
Delay enforcement • 25%
Overturn the law • 25%
Uphold the law • 25%
Other outcome • 25%