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Market
What will be the status of U.S. sanctions on Pegasus spyware by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions remain • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
Official U.S. government statements, reputable international news agencies
Story
Trump Promises Netanyahu Support to Violate Gaza Ceasefire, Lift Sanctions on Pegasus Spyware, and Facilitate West Bank Land Theft
Jan 14, 2025, 03:25 PM
Israeli media has reported that former U.S. President Donald Trump promised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu support to violate a nascent ceasefire in Gaza. The reports indicate that Trump assured Netanyahu he could break the ceasefire and resume military actions after signing a deal. Additionally, Trump allegedly offered a 'gift bag' of benefits, which includes lifting sanctions on Israel's Pegasus spyware and providing support for Israeli settlers and extremists, as well as facilitating land acquisition in the West Bank.
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Other • 25%
Injunction against NSO Group operations • 25%
Financial compensation • 25%
Public apology • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ruling overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Ruling upheld • 25%