Loading...
Market
What will be the status of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict by December 31, 2024?
2
Israel•Hezbollah•Upper Galilee•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Lebanon•Nabatieh•Hussein Ibrahim Kassab•Israeli
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah, major news outlets
Story
Israel-Hezbollah Conflict Intensifies: 55 Rockets Fired, Commander Killed
Aug 17, 2024, 09:05 AM
Tensions have escalated between Israel and Hezbollah, with significant military exchanges reported. Hezbollah launched a series of rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel, including a barrage of 55 rockets targeting the Upper Galilee area. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) responded with airstrikes on Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, particularly in Nabatieh, resulting in the deaths of at least 10 people, including a Hezbollah commander, Hussein Ibrahim Kassab. The conflict has caused multiple fires in northern Israel and injuries to Israeli soldiers. The situation remains volatile with ongoing hostilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel launches ground invasion • 25%
Hezbollah launches major counteroffensive • 25%
Both sides agree to ceasefire • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah retreat • 25%
Israel retreat • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict with no major change • 25%
Escalation into a larger regional conflict • 25%
International intervention leading to peace talks • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Return to status quo • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes without agreement • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation into full-scale war • 25%
Status quo with intermittent skirmishes • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed by international intervention • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation to Full-Scale War • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation into Full-Scale War • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Full-blown war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah retreat • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%