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What will be the status of Gaza by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Demilitarized Gaza under Israeli control • 25%
Gaza under Hamas control • 25%
Gaza under a new governing body • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Vows 'Total Victory' Over Hamas in Speech to Congress
Jul 24, 2024, 08:15 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed in a speech to Congress to continue the war in Gaza until achieving 'total victory' over Hamas. Netanyahu stated that the war could end if Hamas returns all hostages but emphasized that Israel would fight until Hamas's military capacities and rule in Gaza are destroyed. He expressed his vision for a demilitarized and deradicalized Gaza post-conflict. His speech disappointed those hoping for a breakthrough in ceasefire negotiations and hostage release. Netanyahu also condemned American opponents of the war. Many Democratic lawmakers boycotted his address, and thousands protested, seeking an end to the war.
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Ceasefire in Place • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement Reached • 25%
Escalated Conflict • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Escalation into wider regional conflict • 25%
Hamas control • 25%
Palestinian Authority control • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Other • 25%
Under full IDF control • 25%
Under Hamas control • 25%
Under joint control • 25%
Autonomous with international oversight • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
De-escalated conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Hamas relinquishes power • 25%
Hamas retains power • 25%
Hamas partially relinquishes power • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF victory • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant progress • 25%
Moderate progress • 25%
Little to no progress • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Fatah takes control • 25%
UN-administered governance • 25%
Other entity takes control • 25%