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What will be the state response to the federal ruling on at-home distilling by July 12, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Texas will introduce state-level regulations • 25%
Other states will introduce state-level regulations • 25%
No state-level regulations will be introduced • 25%
Multiple states will introduce state-level regulations • 25%
Publicly available state legislative records and news reports
Story
Trump-Appointed Judge Rules 156-Year-Old Ban on At-Home Distilling Unconstitutional, Felony Blocked
Jul 12, 2024, 11:40 AM
A federal judge in Texas has ruled that a 156-year-old ban on at-home distilling is unconstitutional. The decision, made by Trump-appointed US District Judge Mark Pittman, sided with the Hobby Distillers Association and several individuals who challenged the ban in December. The ruling asserts that the longstanding prohibition on home distillation exceeded Congress's taxing power. This historic decision is seen as a significant victory for advocates of legalizing the production of spirits like whiskey and bourbon for personal consumption. The court's decision also blocks the enforcement of the 1868 federal law that prohibited the distillation of spirits in any dwelling house, which had made it a felony to distill spirits at home.
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Similar markets
All acquitted • 25%
Some convicted, some acquitted • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Full compliance with reforms • 25%
Partial compliance with reforms • 25%
No compliance with reforms • 25%
Reforms not applicable • 25%
Most states adopt similar regulations • 25%
Most states oppose or challenge regulations • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant state action • 25%
Stricter enforcement only • 33%
New regulations • 33%
No new policies • 33%
Majority support and implement • 25%
Majority oppose and challenge • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
New federal legislation proposed • 25%
Executive order issued • 25%
No federal response • 25%
Other federal action • 25%
Federal law enacted to override state bans • 33%
Federal support for state bans • 33%
No federal action • 33%
Strengthened regulations • 25%
Ban on raw milk sales • 25%
No change in regulations • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in state regulations • 25%
Decrease in state regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%