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What will be the state of U.S.-China diplomatic relations following the 'Volt Typhoon' disinformation claims by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Official statements or actions from the U.S. and Chinese governments
Story
Chinese Investigation Reveals U.S. Fabricated 'Volt Typhoon' Cyber Threat in Disinformation Campaign
Jul 8, 2024, 12:20 PM
A recent Chinese investigation has revealed that the U.S. fabricated the 'Volt Typhoon' cyber threat narrative as part of a misinformation campaign and public opinion manipulation. The report indicates that U.S. intelligence agencies, along with other federal entities, have been involved in hyping up cyber threats from China. Additionally, the U.S. government allegedly pressured cybersecurity companies to revise technical reports to support the claim that 'Volt Typhoon' is a ransomware organization. The investigation suggests that this effort was aimed at maintaining U.S. cyber hegemony. Beijing has strongly condemned the disinformation campaign, with China's National Computer Virus Emergency Response Center and other cybersecurity entities highlighting the manipulation involved. GT exclusive reports that the U.S. instructed related companies to cover up evidence after the truth was revealed.
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Similar markets
Increased tensions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
Severed Relations • 25%
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No • 50%
Increased sanctions on China • 25%
New cybersecurity agreements • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
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Improved relations • 33%
Status quo • 33%
Deteriorated relations • 33%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Accept Apology • 25%
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No Official Response • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Significant conflict • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
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Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
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Other measures • 25%