Loading...
Market
What will be the stance of Germany, France, and the Netherlands on the IRGC designation by December 31, 2024?
2
European Union•Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Germany•France•Netherlands•Düsseldorf Higher Regional Court•German•Annalena Baerbock•Brussels•EU•Vienna•Austria•National Day•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
All Support • 33%
Mixed Support • 33%
All Oppose • 34%
Statements from the governments of Germany, France, and the Netherlands
Story
EU Moves to Designate Iran's IRGC as Terrorist Organization with Support from Germany, France, and Netherlands
Oct 31, 2024, 12:50 PM
The European Union is moving towards designating Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization, with support from Germany, France, and the Netherlands. This follows a 2023 ruling by Germany's Düsseldorf Higher Regional Court, which attributed a 2022 attack to the IRGC. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has urged Brussels to add the IRGC to the EU's terrorist list. The presence of an IRGC officer, who is also Iran's military attaché in Vienna, at Austria's National Day parade on October 26 has intensified calls for this designation. The IRGC has been accused of attempting to murder European citizens and holding them hostage.
View original story
Similar markets
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Italy • 25%
Other EU countries • 25%
Designated as Terrorist Organization • 25%
Not Designated • 25%
Decision Pending • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Designated as terrorist organization • 25%
Not designated • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Italy • 25%
Other • 25%
Classified as terrorist organization • 25%
Classified as militant group • 25%
No change in classification • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
No significant change • 25%