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Will the EU designate Iran's IRGC as a terrorist organization by March 2025?
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Germany•Iranian•Jamshid Sharmahd•Sharmahd•Dubai•Iran•2008 Shiraz bombing•European Union•German•Annalena Baerbock•EU•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Tehran
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official EU announcements or credible news reports
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Germany Orders Closure of Three Iranian Consulates Over Execution of 69-Year-Old Dual National
Oct 31, 2024, 01:54 PM
Germany has ordered the closure of all three Iranian consulates within its borders in response to the execution of Jamshid Sharmahd, a 69-year-old German-Iranian dual national. Sharmahd, who was also a U.S. resident, was kidnapped by Iranian security forces in Dubai in 2020 and executed in Iran on charges of terrorism related to the 2008 Shiraz bombing. The execution has sparked global condemnation and strained relations between Germany and Iran. Germany has recalled its ambassador from Iran and summoned the Iranian chargé d'affaires. The European Union is considering targeted measures against Iran, and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has urged the EU to designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization. In retaliation, Iran has summoned the German ambassador in Tehran.
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Designated • 33%
Not Designated • 33%
Decision Delayed • 34%
Designated as Terrorist Organization • 25%
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Other Outcome • 25%
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