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What will be the scale of public demonstrations in Nigeria related to the trial of the ten protesters by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No demonstrations • 25%
Small-scale demonstrations • 25%
Medium-scale demonstrations • 25%
Large-scale demonstrations • 25%
Reputable news sources reporting on public demonstrations in Nigeria
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Nigeria Charges 10 Protesters with Treason, Inciting Military After Demonstrations
Sep 2, 2024, 10:05 AM
The Nigerian government has charged ten protesters from the #EndBadGovernance movement with treason and conspiracy to incite the military to mutiny. These charges follow last month's nationwide demonstrations against a cost of living crisis. The protesters were arraigned in Abuja, Kaduna, Kano, and Gombe and have been remanded in Kuje Correctional Centre. Amnesty International has criticized the trial, labeling it a mockery of the rule of law and condemning the government's actions. Justice Nwite, an ally of the Tinubu government, is set to rule on the bail applications on September 11.
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No demonstrations • 25%
Small-scale demonstrations • 25%
Medium-scale demonstrations • 25%
Large-scale demonstrations • 25%
No protests • 25%
Small protests • 25%
Moderate protests • 25%
Large protests • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests will escalate • 25%
Protests will de-escalate • 25%
Government will implement policy changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Large Protests (1000+ people) • 25%
Small Protests (100-999 people) • 25%
No Protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Improvement in press freedom • 25%
No change in press freedom • 25%
Deterioration in press freedom • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority support the sentencing • 25%
Majority oppose the sentencing • 25%
Majority are indifferent • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests subside • 25%
Protests end • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Some convicted, some acquitted • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Trial not concluded by deadline • 25%
No protests • 25%
Small protests (under 1000 participants) • 25%
Medium protests (1000 to 5000 participants) • 25%
Large protests (over 5000 participants) • 25%
All released without charge • 25%
Some charged, some released • 25%
All charged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%