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What will be the response of Hamas to the killing of Mahmoud al-Nader by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic efforts with international bodies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
News reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hamas Commander Mahmoud al-Nader Killed in Israeli Airstrike in Lebanon on Monday
Sep 28, 2024, 06:11 AM
Hamas has announced that its field commander, Mahmoud al-Nader, was killed in an Israeli airstrike in southern Lebanon on September 23, 2024. The airstrike targeted the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas's military wing. The incident marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. Al-Nader was operating alongside Hezbollah in Lebanon, according to Hamas's military wing. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have not commented on the airstrike. The incident occurred on a Monday.
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Retaliatory attack • 25%
Cease-fire agreement • 25%
Diplomatic negotiation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Ground attacks on Israeli forces • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket Attacks • 25%
Terrorist Attacks • 25%
Political Retaliation • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack against Israel • 25%
Formal complaint to the UN • 25%
Increased recruitment and propaganda • 25%
No major action • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Ground attack • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retaliation against Israel • 25%
Retaliation against U.S. • 25%
Internal leadership reorganization • 25%
Other • 25%