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Market
What will be the primary scientific discovery from ESA's Hera mission by the end of 2027?
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SpaceX•European Space Agency•ESA•Hera•Cape Canaveral•Florida•NASA•Double Asteroid Redirection Test•Dimorphos•Hurricane Milton•Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•Didymos•Mars gravity assist
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmation of DART's success • 25%
New insights on asteroid composition • 25%
Unexpected findings • 25%
No significant discoveries • 25%
ESA's published scientific findings and reports
Story
SpaceX Launches ESA's Hera Mission on October 7 at 10:52 AM ET Despite Stormy Weather
Oct 7, 2024, 02:49 PM
SpaceX successfully launched the European Space Agency's (ESA) Hera mission on October 7 from Cape Canaveral, Florida, at 10:52 AM ET. The mission aims to study the impact of NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) on the asteroid Dimorphos. Despite stormy weather and the approaching Hurricane Milton, the launch proceeded as scheduled with a 60% favorable weather forecast. The Falcon 9 rocket, which was grounded after a second-stage malfunction during the Crew-9 mission, was cleared for this flight by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) because the Hera mission does not involve a second-stage reentry. The launch was fully expendable, with both stages consuming all their propellant. Hera is expected to arrive at the asteroid system Didymos and Dimorphos in October 2026 after a Mars gravity assist flyby in March 2026. ESA confirmed the acquisition of signal from the spacecraft, indicating all systems are operational.
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Asteroid Deflection • 25%
Data Collection • 25%
Technological Demonstration • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful deployment • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Mission Success • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Mission Failure • 25%
Mission Postponed • 25%
Successful launch • 25%
Launch delayed • 25%
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Partial success • 25%
New meteorite type identified • 25%
New collision event discovered • 25%
New dating method developed • 25%
Other discovery • 25%
Presence of water vapor plumes • 25%
Evidence of subsurface ocean • 25%
Signs of microbial life • 25%
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Water plumes detected • 25%
Organic molecules detected • 25%
Geological activity observed • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Subsurface ocean composition • 25%
Surface geology and ice dynamics • 25%
Magnetic field data • 25%
Other discovery • 25%
Evidence of liquid water • 25%
Signs of geological activity • 25%
Signs of life • 25%
No significant discoveries • 25%
Subsurface ocean characteristics • 25%
Icy shell dynamics • 25%
Surface composition • 25%
Magnetic field interactions • 25%
Water/Ice presence confirmed • 25%
New mineral discovery • 25%
Technological breakthrough • 25%
Other significant finding • 25%