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What will be the primary reason for any conflict between Slovakia and Ukraine over gas transit by March 2025?
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Slovak•Robert Fico•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Ukraine•Slovakia•Fico•European Union•Russia•Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic retaliation • 25%
Political disagreement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from both governments or credible news analysis
Story
Slovak PM Fico Warns Zelensky of 'Serious Conflict' Over Russian Gas Transit as Agreement Expires January 1
Dec 20, 2024, 12:13 PM
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has issued a stark warning to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky regarding the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Slovakia. Fico stated that if Ukraine does not allow the transit of gas, it could lead to a 'serious conflict.' This statement comes amid Slovakia's intention to block potential European Union sanctions against Russia in the nuclear energy sector. Fico's remarks reflect escalating tensions between Slovakia and Ukraine, particularly as the agreement for the transit of Russian gas is set to expire on January 1, 2025. Fico expressed dissatisfaction with Zelensky's position, which indicated that Ukraine would not extend the transit agreement. The Slovak government is reportedly considering reciprocal measures against Ukraine if gas transit is not permitted.
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New deal with Russia • 25%
Alternative EU supply • 25%
Continued shortage • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Secures alternative supply • 25%
Negotiates with Russia for direct supply • 25%
Energy rationing implemented • 25%
Other • 25%
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No • 50%
Energy price increase • 25%
Industrial slowdown • 25%
Government intervention • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
Russian Gas • 25%
European Gas • 25%
Middle Eastern Gas • 25%
Other • 25%
Oil transit resumes • 25%
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Alternative route found • 25%