Loading...
Market
What will be the primary reason cited for John Phelan's confirmation or rejection by March 31, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•John Phelan•Navy•Phelan•Picasso•Trump•Aspen•Trae Stephens•Anduril•Stephens•Department of Defense
Resolution / Starting Odds
Financial support for Trump • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Political influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Senate hearings or analysis from news outlets such as CNN, BBC, or Reuters
Story
Trump Nominates GOP Donor John Phelan, Art Collector, for Navy Secretary
Nov 27, 2024, 07:35 AM
President Donald Trump has nominated John Phelan, a financier and significant GOP donor with no military or naval experience, to serve as the Secretary of the Navy. Phelan, known for his private equity work and his collection of Picasso artworks, has raised concerns due to his lack of relevant background, with critics pointing out that his primary qualification appears to be his financial support for Trump's campaign, including hosting a fundraising dinner at his $38 million Aspen home. Additionally, Trump is considering Trae Stephens, a partner in Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and executive at Anduril, for the position of Deputy Secretary of Defense. Stephens, who has a background in military technology and innovation, could influence the Department of Defense's budget.
View original story
Similar markets
Confirmed • 33%
Withdrawn • 33%
Rejected • 34%
Political alignment • 25%
Professional qualifications • 25%
Ethical concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Experience in Counter-Terrorism • 25%
Controversial Statements • 25%
Political Opposition • 25%
Past legal representation of Trump • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Political affiliations • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 33%
Not confirmed • 34%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 33%
Not confirmed • 34%
Misconduct allegations • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Political support • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Confirmed • 50%
Not Confirmed • 50%
Vote Delayed • 50%
Withdrawn Nomination • 50%
Alleged misconduct • 25%
Lack of qualifications • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Pending • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Incomplete background checks • 25%
Political opposition • 25%
Ethical concerns • 25%
Other • 25%