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What will be the primary reason cited for any change in Asma al-Assad's travel status by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Humanitarian grounds • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Legal resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
Official UK government announcements or credible news reports
Story
Asma al-Assad Barred from UK by Yvette Cooper Due to Expired Passport Amid Leukemia Treatment Needs
Dec 29, 2024, 02:35 PM
Asma al-Assad, the British-born wife of ousted Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, has been barred from returning to the UK for cancer treatment due to the expiration of her British passport. The UK Home Secretary, Yvette Cooper, stated that the decision is not based on health reasons and emphasized that Asma al-Assad no longer possesses valid travel documents for entry into the country. Reports indicate that she is currently critically ill, reportedly battling leukemia, and has been seeking to escape Moscow for medical assistance in the UK. Despite her health condition, the British government maintains that her return will not be permitted.
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Obtains citizenship from another country • 25%
Retains Syrian citizenship only • 25%
Obtains Russian citizenship • 25%
Regains UK citizenship • 25%
Denied • 25%
Granted • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Pending • 25%
Sanctions remain • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Health reasons • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Permission granted but she does not return • 25%
Permission denied • 25%
Permission granted and she returns • 25%
No decision made • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Denied entry • 25%
Entry with conditions • 25%
No attempt to return • 25%
Granted entry • 25%
No significant improvement • 25%
Partial recovery • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Middle Eastern country • 25%
Remains in Russia • 25%
Another European country • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%