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What will be Asma al-Assad's citizenship status by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Regains UK citizenship • 25%
Retains Syrian citizenship only • 25%
Obtains Russian citizenship • 25%
Obtains citizenship from another country • 25%
Official UK government statements or credible news reports
Story
Asma al-Assad in Moscow with Aggressive Leukemia; 50% Survival Chance, UK Bars Her Return for Treatment
Dec 29, 2024, 01:30 PM
Asma al-Assad, the wife of former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, is currently in Moscow receiving treatment for aggressive leukemia. Reports indicate that her condition is critical, with a survival chance estimated at 50%. Al-Assad is reportedly isolated due to the severity of her illness. Meanwhile, British authorities have announced that she will not be allowed to return to the UK for treatment, as her British passport has expired. The UK Home Secretary confirmed that the decision is not based on health reasons, and al-Assad remains barred from entering the country despite her medical needs. She and her family had previously sought asylum in Russia following the Syrian civil war.
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Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Syria • 25%
No attempt to return • 25%
Denied entry • 25%
Granted entry • 25%
Entry with conditions • 25%
Humanitarian grounds • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Legal resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions remain • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
Middle Eastern country • 25%
Another European country • 25%
Syria • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Another European country • 25%
Middle Eastern country • 25%
Remains in Russia • 25%
Divorce denied, relocation approved • 25%
Divorce granted, relocation approved • 25%
Divorce denied, relocation denied • 25%
Divorce granted, relocation denied • 25%
Partial Recovery • 25%
Full Recovery • 25%
Deceased • 25%
No Recovery • 25%