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What will be the primary method used by Russia to evade US sanctions on Arctic LNG 2 exports by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Use of 'shadow fleet' vessels • 25%
Ship-to-ship transfers • 25%
Fake documentation • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from industry analysts, satellite imagery, or official statements
Story
Russia Loads First Arctic LNG 2 Cargo on ‘Shadow Fleet’ Vessel to Evade US Sanctions
Aug 4, 2024, 08:50 AM
Russia has reportedly loaded its first Arctic LNG 2 cargo onto a 'shadow fleet' vessel, according to multiple sources. Satellite images confirm that a large vessel docked at Russia’s liquefied natural gas export plant in the Arctic at the end of last week. This move appears to be an effort to circumvent US sanctions, which have hindered Russia's ability to start exports from the Arctic LNG 2 project. Ship data show no carriers in the area, suggesting a strategic approach to bypassing these US measures.
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Cryptocurrency usage • 25%
Alternative financial systems • 25%
Increased trade with non-sanctioning countries • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Shadow Fleet • 25%
Shell Companies • 25%
Direct State Agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased use of 'dark fleet' • 25%
New trade partners • 25%
Price adjustments • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
Crude oil • 25%
Refined products • 25%
Natural gas • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Necessity • 25%
Political Agreement • 25%
Legal Rulings • 25%
Other • 25%
Panama • 25%
Liberia • 25%
Marshall Islands • 25%
Other • 25%