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What will be the primary method of retaliation by the Sinaloa Cartel by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Violence on U.S. soil • 25%
Violence in Mexico • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major news outlets or official statements from U.S. law enforcement agencies
Story
Biden Administration's DOJ Sweep Targets Sinaloa Cartel, Top Leaders Surrender
Jul 26, 2024, 01:12 AM
The Biden administration's Department of Justice has conducted a significant sweep against Mexico's Sinaloa Cartel, leading to the surrender of top cartel leaders to U.S. authorities. This operation is part of a broader effort to dismantle the cartel's leadership and address the fentanyl crisis in the United States. The U.S. has declared war on the Sinaloa Cartel, marking the biggest cartel arrest since El Chapo. The cartel, known as the largest and most powerful in Mexico, is reportedly enraged and may retaliate, prompting the U.S. border to be on high alert.
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Special forces deployment • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Undercover operations • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
Leadership remains the same • 25%
Internal conflict or split • 25%
Dissolution of the cartel • 25%
Naval Embargo • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Troops • 25%
Cyber Operations • 25%
Significant reduction in operations • 25%
Moderate reduction in operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military Operations • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Intelligence Operations • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Ground operations • 25%
No significant retaliation • 25%
One faction emerges dominant • 25%
Cartel splits into multiple independent groups • 25%
Cartel leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Financial incentives • 25%
Coercion or threats • 25%
Educational partnerships • 25%
Other • 25%