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What will be the primary consequence of the Sudzha incursion by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from major news agencies like the Associated Press, Reuters, and BBC
Story
Ukrainian Forces Seize Russian Town of Sudzha
Aug 16, 2024, 11:00 PM
Ukrainian forces have made a significant incursion into Russia, seizing control of the town of Sudzha. This operation marks the largest town captured by Ukrainian forces in Russia. The Associated Press reported that Ukrainian forces left a trail of destruction during this risky operation. Journalists, including those from the Associated Press, were able to visit Sudzha on a trip organized by the Ukrainian government, witnessing the aftermath of the incursion.
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Russia regains full control • 25%
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Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia controls Kursk • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Ukrainian territorial gain • 25%
Significant Russian counteroffensive • 25%
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Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
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Contested • 34%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Contested with no clear control • 25%
Destroyed/evacuated • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian forces maintain control • 25%
Ukrainian forces penetrate and hold territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
City completely destroyed • 25%
City partially destroyed • 25%
City remains mostly intact • 25%
No significant damage • 25%