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What will be the primary cause of any unrest in Georgia following the October 26, 2024 parliamentary elections?
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Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•United States•Georgia•Western•Georgian•Kremlin•Tbilisi Maidan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Allegations of election fraud • 25%
Economic issues • 25%
Ethnic tensions • 25%
Foreign interference • 25%
Major news outlets such as BBC, CNN, and Reuters
Story
Russia Accuses U.S. of Plotting 'Tbilisi Maidan' in Georgia After October 26 Elections
Aug 26, 2024, 11:41 AM
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has claimed that the United States is planning a 'color revolution' in Georgia following the parliamentary elections scheduled for October 26, 2024. The SVR alleges that the U.S. is dissatisfied with the potential success of the ruling Georgian Dream - Democratic Georgia party and fears that the party may reject Western demands. This narrative aligns with the Georgian government's stance, which echoes Kremlin's propaganda. The SVR specifically referred to the planned unrest as a 'Tbilisi Maidan.'
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Georgian Dream wins majority • 25%
Opposition coalition wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
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Georgian Dream wins majority • 25%
Opposition coalition wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Accusations of Vote Rigging • 25%
Military Interference • 25%
Economic Conditions • 25%
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Ruling party retains majority • 25%
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Coalition government formed • 25%
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Government resigns • 25%
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EU Accession • 25%
Pro-Russian Policies • 25%
Constitutional Crisis • 25%
Economic Issues • 25%
Call for new elections • 25%
Implement reforms • 25%
Increase law enforcement actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%