Loading...
Market
What will be the political status of Nagorno-Karabakh by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Status quo remains • 25%
Nagorno-Karabakh gains more autonomy • 25%
Nagorno-Karabakh fully integrated into Azerbaijan • 25%
Nagorno-Karabakh declares independence • 25%
Official announcements from the Armenian and Azerbaijani governments and credible news sources
Story
Armenia Thwarts Russia-Backed Coup Attempt Against Pashinyan Government
Sep 18, 2024, 06:23 PM
Armenian authorities have thwarted an attempted coup allegedly backed by Russia against the Pashinyan government. The National Security Service of Armenia reported that the plot involved seven individuals, including five Armenian citizens and two former residents of Nagorno-Karabakh, who underwent military training in Russia. The Investigative Committee of Armenia stated that the conspirators aimed to usurp power through violent means. Three suspects have been arrested, while four others remain wanted. The group was reportedly well-funded, receiving 220,000 RUB per month each. Armenian officials have emphasized the seriousness of the threat, noting the detailed planning and execution of the plot by pro-Russian forces.
View original story
Similar markets
Pashinyan remains PM • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
Interim government • 25%
Military rule • 25%
Pro-Western government remains in power • 25%
Pro-Russian government takes power • 25%
Neutral government takes power • 25%
Government remains unstable • 25%
Under full Ukrainian control • 25%
Under partial Ukrainian control • 25%
Under full Russian control • 25%
Under partial Russian control • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Contested • 25%
Other • 25%
Recognized as part of Russia by any major country • 25%
Continued non-recognition and condemnation • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts for resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine regains all territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
No change in territorial control • 25%
Russia gains more territories • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted or impeached • 25%
Assassinated or dies • 25%
Remains part of Ukraine • 25%
Annexed by Hungary • 25%
Declares independence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Divided control • 25%
Internationally governed • 25%
Returned to Ukraine • 25%
Remain under Russian control • 25%
Under international administration • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Under Ukrainian control • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Disputed control • 25%
Ceasefire with joint administration • 25%
Pashinyan remains in power • 25%
Pashinyan resigns • 25%
Pashinyan is ousted • 25%
New elections held • 25%