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What will be the political outcome for President Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Putin remains in power • 25%
Putin steps down • 25%
Putin is ousted • 25%
Putin transitions to another role • 25%
Official announcements from the Kremlin, verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Russia Withdraws Troops From Ukraine Amid Ukrainian Incursion in Kursk
Aug 13, 2024, 10:01 PM
Russia, led by President Vladimir Putin, has withdrawn some of its military units from Ukraine in response to a Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory, according to multiple sources including Ukrainian and U.S. officials. This move marks the first indication that Kyiv's cross-border offensive is compelling Moscow to adjust its military strategy. Reports suggest that the withdrawal is aimed at countering the escalating situation, particularly in the Kursk region. The decision reflects the ongoing complexities of the conflict between the two nations.
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Putin remains President • 25%
Putin resigns • 25%
Putin is removed • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Ousted by internal forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Vladimir Putin remains in power • 25%
New President from United Russia party • 25%
New President from opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces expelled from Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Ukrainian advance continues • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Decrease in approval rating • 25%
Increase in approval rating • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military presence in Lebanon • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Weakened • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
No further endorsements • 25%