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Market
Public perception of GOP unity post-2024 primaries
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
United • 40%
Divided • 40%
Neutral • 20%
Major national polls and political analyses
Story
Trump Wins Indiana GOP Primary with 78.3%; Haley Gets 21.7% After Exiting
May 8, 2024, 10:20 PM
In the Indiana GOP presidential primary, with 70% of the votes counted, former President Donald Trump secured a significant victory with 78.3% of the vote, translating to 375,000 votes, while Nikki Haley, who had withdrawn from the race over two months prior, unexpectedly received 21.7% or approximately 128,000 votes. Despite her early exit, Haley's substantial share of the vote, amounting to one in five Republican votes, highlights a notable level of dissent within the party. Trump's win also included securing 52 out of 58 available delegates in the state.
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Trump gains full support • 33%
Party remains divided • 33%
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Unified behind Mike Johnson • 33%
Divided with no clear leadership • 33%
Shift towards a new leader • 34%
Mostly favorable • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
Divided opinions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Perceived as neutral • 33%
Perceived as biased against Republicans • 33%
Perceived as biased against Democrats • 34%
Mostly Positive • 33%
Mostly Negative • 33%
Neutral/Mixed • 34%
Significantly more negative • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significantly more positive • 33%
Trump Leads • 25%
Second Place • 25%
Third Place • 25%
Fourth Place or Lower • 25%
Improved • 50%
Unchanged/Deteriorated • 50%
Significant Negative Shift • 50%
No Significant Shift • 50%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed feelings • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Indifferent/no opinion • 25%
Trump secures nomination • 33%
Haley secures nomination • 33%
Another candidate secures nomination • 33%