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What will be the outcome of US-Ukraine negotiations on ATACMS missile usage by March 2025?
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United States•Ukraine•Russia•US•Lloyd Austin•Austin•Russian Aerospace Forces•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Jen Griffin•Biden•Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Permission granted with restrictions • 25%
Permission granted without restrictions • 25%
Permission denied • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Official statements from US and Ukrainian governments or credible news reports
Story
US Denies Ukraine Permission to Use ATACMS Missiles Against Russia, Says Lloyd Austin
Oct 23, 2024, 08:03 AM
The United States will not grant Ukraine permission to strike Russia with long-range ATACMS missiles, according to US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Austin stated that the Russian Aerospace Forces have already moved their aircraft out of the range of these missiles, making such strikes ineffective. This decision comes despite requests from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to lift the restrictions on the use of ATACMS missiles. Jen Griffin questioned why President Biden and Austin continued to reject Zelensky's requests.
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Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
De-escalation or peace talks initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Significant military success • 25%
Limited military success • 25%
No military impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Russian military withdrawal from key areas • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Increased international diplomatic intervention • 25%
Successful strategic advantage • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy becomes less restrictive • 25%
Policy is revoked • 25%
Significant Ukrainian territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Significant Russian counteroffensive • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Call for Ceasefire • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial lifting of restrictions • 25%
Complete lifting of restrictions • 25%
Increase in restrictions • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Suspension of aid • 25%
