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What will be the U.S. policy on Ukraine's use of ATACMS by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy becomes less restrictive • 25%
Policy is revoked • 25%
Official statements from U.S. or Ukrainian government, or reports from reputable news sources
Story
U.S. Limits Ukraine's Use of ATACMS in Kursk, Focuses on Crimea
Aug 16, 2024, 08:21 AM
The United States is restricting Ukraine from using American long-range weapons to strike targets in Russia's Kursk region. This decision is not due to concerns about escalating the conflict, but rather because the U.S. has a limited supply of the long-range missiles, known as ATACMS. U.S. officials believe these weapons would be more effectively used in targeting Russian-occupied Crimea. CNN reports that multiple U.S. officials have confirmed this stance.
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Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Suspension of aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial lifting of restrictions • 25%
Complete lifting of restrictions • 25%
Increase in restrictions • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Prioritize Ukraine • 25%
Maintain current agreements • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
