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What will be the outcome of U.S. sanctions on Antal Rogan's political career by the end of 2025?
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United States•Antal Rogan•Hungarian•Viktor Orban•Rogan•Orban•Cabinet Office•Hungary•Fidesz•Global Magnitsky Act•Europe
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rogan resigns • 25%
Rogan retains position • 25%
Rogan promoted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Hungarian government or credible news outlets
Story
US Sanctions Orban's Ally Antal Rogan Under Global Magnitsky Act for Corruption
Jan 7, 2025, 05:57 PM
The United States has imposed sanctions on Antal Rogan, a senior Hungarian government official and a key ally of Prime Minister Viktor Orban, for his alleged involvement in corruption. Rogan, who serves as the Minister in Charge of Orban's Cabinet Office, has been accused by the U.S. Treasury Department of orchestrating schemes that control strategic sectors of Hungary's economy and divert proceeds to himself and loyalists of the Fidesz political party. The sanctions, enacted under the Global Magnitsky Act, target corruption and human rights abuses globally. Rogan's actions are seen as part of a broader climate of impunity in Hungary, where state capture by oligarchs and undemocratic actors is a concern. The U.S. aims to prevent its financial system from facilitating Rogan's corrupt activities, urging Hungary to address corruption decisively to strengthen the transatlantic alliance and promote a more prosperous Europe.
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Demotion or loss of position • 25%
Career unaffected • 25%
Increased political influence • 25%
Voluntary resignation • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
Denies allegations and remains in position • 25%
No public response • 25%
Takes legal action against US • 25%
Support Rogan and criticize US • 25%
Distance from Rogan • 25%
Internal investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
No Change • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Policy Shift • 25%
Legal Settlement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant financial loss • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor financial loss • 25%
No impact • 25%
Officials retain positions • 25%
Other status change • 25%
Officials promoted • 25%
Officials removed from positions • 25%
Both equally affected • 25%
Cognitive Design Production Center (CDPC) • 25%
Center for Geopolitical Expertise (CGE) • 25%
Neither significantly affected • 25%