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Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sales proceed without change • 25%
Sales are reduced • 25%
Sales are canceled • 25%
Sales are delayed • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or major news outlets
Story
China Opposes $571.3 Million U.S. Military Aid and $295 Million Arms Sales to Taiwan, Calls It a Violation
Dec 22, 2024, 03:22 AM
In response to the United States' announcement of military assistance totaling $571.3 million and the approval of $295 million in arms sales to Taiwan, China's Foreign Ministry has expressed strong opposition. A spokesperson for the ministry stated that these actions violate the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. joint communiqués. China has lodged serious protests with the U.S. and has warned that it will take all necessary measures to protect its interests. The Chinese government reiterated its stance against U.S. military support for Taiwan, emphasizing that such moves are dangerous and detrimental to regional stability.
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Similar markets
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Increase support for Taiwan • 25%
Decrease support for Taiwan • 25%
Shift to a neutral stance • 25%
Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Less than $500 million • 25%
$500 million to $1 billion • 25%
$1 billion to $2 billion • 25%
More than $2 billion • 25%
Requests more arms • 25%
Accepts current sales • 25%
Requests diplomatic mediation • 25%
Seeks alternative suppliers • 25%
