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What will be the outcome of the Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine maintains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Russia regains control of the incursion areas • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian and Russian defense ministries
Story
Thousands of Ukrainian Troops Advance 30 km into Russia in Destabilization Effort
Aug 11, 2024, 12:53 PM
Ukrainian forces have launched a significant incursion into Russian territory, reportedly involving thousands of troops. According to a top Ukrainian official, this operation aims to destabilize Russia. The Russian Defense Ministry reported that Ukrainian forces advanced 30 kilometers into Russian territory, targeting areas around the villages of Tolpino, Zhuravli, and Obshchy Kolodez. The ministry claims to have repelled these attempts, which included the use of armored vehicles.
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Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine Victory • 25%
Russia Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
New diplomatic efforts • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine captures territory • 25%
Significant Russian casualties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%