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What will be the outcome of the US-Israel arms transfer decision by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant changes • 25%
US Congress intervenes • 25%
UN sanctions imposed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Official statements from US government, Israeli government, or verified news sources
Story
Biden Administration to Lift All Arms Restrictions to Israel as Hamas Rejects Ceasefire
Jun 18, 2024, 01:01 AM
The Biden administration has decided to lift all restrictions on arms deliveries to Israel. This move follows reports from N12News that Hamas has rejected a ceasefire. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken reportedly promised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Washington will remove all restrictions on weapons transfers to Israel in the coming days. The lifted restrictions include those on the transfer of bombs, including 2000lb bombs, ammunition, and other arms. The decision has raised questions about the Biden administration's stance on humanitarian concerns and its commitment to drawing 'red lines' for Israel, especially in light of Israel's recent actions in invading Rafah.
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Arms sale proceeds without pause • 25%
Arms sale is paused • 25%
Arms sale is canceled • 25%
Arms sale is reduced • 25%
All shipments completed • 33%
Some shipments delayed • 33%
Some shipments cancelled • 33%
Strengthened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tensions arise • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Strengthened US-Israel relations • 25%
Increased tension in Middle East • 25%
Congressional backlash • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Lifted entirely • 25%
Remains partial • 25%
Becomes full embargo • 25%
Other • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Complete lifting of restrictions • 33%
Partial lifting of restrictions • 33%
No change in restrictions • 33%
Joint Military Action • 25%
U.S. Provides Support Only • 25%
Israel Acts Unilaterally • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Embargo imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Crisis resolved, no embargo • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Approve sales • 25%
Block sales • 25%
Modify terms • 25%
No vote held • 25%