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What will be the outcome of the U.S. investigation into TSMC and Huawei chip issue by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No violation found • 25%
Violation found, no sanctions • 25%
Violation found, sanctions imposed on TSMC • 25%
Violation found, sanctions imposed on Huawei • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Commerce or credible news outlets
Story
TSMC Halts Shipments to Sophgo After Huawei Chip Discovery
Oct 26, 2024, 03:02 PM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has halted shipments to a client after discovering that its chips were found in Huawei products, potentially violating U.S. sanctions. The U.S. Department of Commerce has initiated an investigation into how TSMC's chips ended up in Huawei devices, as U.S. restrictions prevent TSMC from selling semiconductors to Huawei. The client identified as having its shipments suspended is Sophgo, an AI chip company affiliated with Bitmain, the world's largest Bitcoin mining hardware maker. This move has raised significant concerns among U.S. lawmakers ahead of the election, with suspicions that a Chinese company may have acted as a proxy to place orders for Huawei. The discovery was made by TechInsights in October, and TSMC also stopped making chips for a firm founded by a Chinese crypto mogul.
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No Violation Found • 25%
Violation Found, No Penalty • 25%
Violation Found, Minor Penalty • 25%
Violation Found, Major Penalty • 25%
No Violation Found • 25%
Minor Violation, No Penalty • 25%
Major Violation, Penalty Imposed • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase U.S. compliance measures • 25%
Diversify customer base • 25%
Legal challenge to findings • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions ease • 25%
New agreements reached • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%