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What will be the outcome of the US District Court ruling in the antitrust trial against Google by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
DoJ wins • 25%
Google wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Mistrial or retrial • 25%
Official court ruling or public announcement from the US District Court
Story
Google Faces Major Antitrust Trial in US District Court Over $20 Billion Ad Monopoly
Sep 9, 2024, 01:06 PM
Google is facing a significant antitrust trial brought by the US Department of Justice (DoJ) over its alleged monopoly in the digital advertising market. The trial, starting on Monday in a US District court, centers on accusations that Google has abused its dominant position to stifle competition and harm news publishers like Gannett, The Guardian, and the Washington Post. In response, Google has released a blog post and video explaining its advertising technologies, arguing that users choose their services because they are effective. The DoJ, however, is pushing for Google to divest its $20 billion ad business, a move that could potentially benefit major news organizations struggling financially. This is Google's second major antitrust case, and a loss could lead to a significant restructuring of its ad business.
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Google found guilty with financial penalty • 25%
Google found guilty with behavioral remedies • 25%
Google found not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
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Other • 25%
DOJ wins, Google appeals • 25%
DOJ wins, no appeal • 25%
Google wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
DOJ wins, Google sells Chrome • 25%
DOJ wins, Google appeals • 25%
Google wins, no sale • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Google breakup ordered • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Appeal filed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Google breakup ordered • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
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Breakup enforced • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Google sells Chrome • 25%
Google sells Android • 25%
Google agrees to other concessions • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Breakup mandated • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Websites can opt-out of AI • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Google sells Chrome • 25%
Google unbundles Android • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Google's proposal accepted • 25%
DOJ's demands enforced • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Case unresolved by deadline • 25%
Google sells Chrome • 25%
Google unbundles Android • 25%
Websites can opt out of AI • 25%
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Google wins the case • 25%
Google loses and is broken up • 25%
Google settles with conditions • 25%
Google wins • 25%
DOJ wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Google implements data licensing • 25%
Websites can opt-out of AI • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Google sells Chrome • 25%
Google implements AI opt-out • 25%
Google separates Android from Play • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Chrome sold, Android retained • 25%
Both Chrome and Android sold • 25%
Neither sold, other remedies applied • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Chrome sale required • 25%
Android sale required • 25%
Both Chrome and Android sale required • 25%
No sale required • 25%