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What will be the outcome of the US compensation package offer to Israel by February 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified • 25%
No decision • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Israeli governments or reports in major news outlets
Story
US Offers Israel Aid to Deter Iran Strikes Amid Distrust Over Military Plans
Oct 8, 2024, 11:11 AM
The Biden administration has reportedly offered Israel a compensation package to dissuade it from launching strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities in response to an Iranian attack last week, according to reports including Kan News. U.S. officials have expressed that while they are not opposed to Israel responding, they want any action to be measured. Simultaneously, the administration has grown increasingly distrustful of the Israeli government's communication regarding its military and diplomatic plans in the ongoing multi-front war, as reported by Barak Ravid on Axios citing four senior U.S. officials. One official noted, “Our trust of the Israelis is very low right now and for a good reason.” The Biden administration has shifted its approach from advocating for a ceasefire to attempting to limit Israel's ground and air operations.
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Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sale of advanced weapons approved • 25%
Sale of advanced weapons denied • 25%
No significant sales changes • 25%
New defense agreements • 25%
Financial Aid • 25%
Military Equipment • 25%
Intelligence Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
All shipments completed • 33%
Some shipments delayed • 33%
Some shipments cancelled • 33%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Aid remains the same • 25%
Aid suspended • 25%
