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What will be the outcome of the U.S.-brokered deal with Hamas by September 30, 2024?
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Bezalel Smotrich•Itamar Ben Gvir•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hamas•Joe Biden•Smotrich•Ben Gvir•War Cabinet
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deal accepted • 33%
Deal rejected • 33%
Deal renegotiated • 33%
Official announcement from the Israeli government or credible news sources
Story
Ultranationalist Ministers Threaten to Topple Netanyahu's Government Over U.S.-Brokered Deal
Jun 1, 2024, 07:24 PM
Ultranationalist ministers Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben Gvir have issued a stark warning to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, threatening to leave the coalition and topple the government if the proposed deal with Hamas, brokered by U.S. President Joe Biden, becomes official. The proposal, which includes a ceasefire and a hostage deal, has sparked significant controversy within the Israeli government. Smotrich and Ben Gvir also announced they will resign from the War Cabinet if the deal is accepted.
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Hamas accepts ceasefire and releases hostages • 33%
Hamas accepts ceasefire but does not release hostages • 33%
Hamas rejects ceasefire • 33%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%
All hostages released • 33%
Some hostages released • 33%
No hostages released • 34%
Ceasefire in place, hostages released • 33%
Ceasefire in place, hostages not released • 33%
No ceasefire • 33%
Improved Relations • 33%
Worsened Relations • 33%
Status Quo • 33%