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Market
Outcome of Israel-Hamas relations by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved Relations • 33%
Worsened Relations • 33%
Status Quo • 33%
Official statements, peace treaty documents, or verified news reports
Story
274 Palestinians Killed in Israeli Hostage Rescue Operation Against Hamas
Jun 9, 2024, 11:30 AM
Gaza's Health Ministry has reported that 274 Palestinians were killed during an Israeli military operation that successfully rescued four hostages held by Hamas. The operation, which took place yesterday, involved both air and ground raids conducted by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF). The incident has sparked controversy, with some claims suggesting that the IDF acted with excessive force during the rescue mission.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire • 33%
Escalation of conflict • 33%
Status quo • 34%
Increased tensions and violence • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Peace talks initiated • 33%
Successful • 33%
Partially Successful • 34%
Unsuccessful • 33%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%
Ceasefire Agreement • 33%
Prisoner Exchange • 33%
No Significant Developments • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deal accepted • 33%
Deal rejected • 33%
Deal renegotiated • 33%
