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What will be the outcome of the Trump-Sheinbaum migration agreement by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in migration • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Joint drug trafficking initiative • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reports from US and Mexican government and international agencies
Story
Trump Says Mexico's President Sheinbaum Agreed to Stop Migration After Tariff Threat
Nov 28, 2024, 12:59 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced on his social media platform that Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has agreed to stop migration through Mexico into the United States, effectively closing the southern border, following his threat to impose a 25% tariff on Mexican products. In a phone conversation described by Sheinbaum as an 'excellent conversation' and by both leaders as productive, they discussed migration, border security, and efforts to combat the inflow of drugs, including fentanyl. Sheinbaum noted that migrant caravans are being addressed within Mexico and emphasized that they are not reaching the U.S. border. She also stated that Mexico's position is not to close borders but to 'tend bridges between governments,' highlighting a cooperative approach to addressing migration and security.
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Successful agreement with new measures • 25%
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