Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the spending bill in Congress by January 15, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed without amendments • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Official records from the U.S. Congress or major news outlets
Story
Musk, Trump, and Ramaswamy Oppose 1,547-Page Spending Bill, Heightening Shutdown Risk
Dec 18, 2024, 10:56 PM
Elon Musk and President-elect Donald Trump have publicly opposed a bipartisan 1,547-page spending bill that aims to fund the government until mid-March and avert a shutdown. Musk criticized the bill on social media, stating "This bill should not pass," and claimed "We're funding bioweapon labs in this bill!" He also threatened to fund primary opponents against Republicans who support the bill. Vivek Ramaswamy joined Musk in opposing the legislation. Trump's opposition has caused House Speaker Mike Johnson to reconsider the bill and consider alternative options. Their stance has increased the likelihood of a shutdown, raising concerns about potential impacts on federal workers and services during the holiday season.
View original story
Similar markets
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bill passes with debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill passes without debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill fails • 25%
Alternative bill passed • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Fails • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Passed with Amendments • 25%
Passed without Amendments • 25%
Still Blocked • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Passed without changes • 25%
Passed with Musk's influence • 25%
Failed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passes with majority • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Signed into law • 25%
Vetoed • 25%
Not passed • 25%
Extended • 25%
Passes with Pay Raise • 25%
Passes without Pay Raise • 25%
Fails • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Passes with majority • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passes with Republican support • 25%
Passes with bipartisan support • 25%
Fails due to Republican opposition • 25%
Fails due to lack of bipartisan support • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant comment • 25%
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Amended • 25%
No action • 25%