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What will be the outcome of the Somalia-Ethiopia joint declaration by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal peace agreement signed • 25%
Economic cooperation established • 25%
Military cooperation established • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Official government announcements or international news agencies like BBC, Reuters
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Turkey Mediates Historic Joint Declaration Resolving Somaliland Dispute Between Somalia and Ethiopia
Dec 11, 2024, 08:40 PM
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hosted Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somalia's President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Ankara for Ankara-mediated peace talks. Following the discussions, the three leaders held a joint press conference where Erdogan announced a 'historic' joint declaration between Somalia and Ethiopia. This declaration marks the first step toward a new beginning based on peace and cooperation, aiming to resolve their dispute over Somaliland and potentially provide sea access to Ethiopia. Erdogan emphasized that Turkey believes the agreed-upon joint statement will establish a solid foundation for cooperation and prosperity based on mutual respect. He thanked the leaders for their dedication in reaching this historic reconciliation and expressed Turkey's fundamental expectation for peace and stability in the region.
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Successful agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Agreement on port access terms • 25%
Joint economic projects • 25%
Security cooperation agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Turkey successfully mediates • 25%
Another country successfully mediates • 25%
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Ethiopia denies allegations • 25%
Ethiopia admits to shipments • 25%
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Talks resumed and agreement reached • 25%
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Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
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No agreement • 25%