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What will be the outcome of the Somali government's allegations against Ethiopia by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ethiopia denies allegations • 25%
Ethiopia admits to shipments • 25%
No official response from Ethiopia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government statements, international body reports, or major news outlets
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Somalia Condemns Ethiopia for Alleged Two Truckloads of Arms Shipments to Puntland
Sep 20, 2024, 04:09 PM
Somalia has condemned Ethiopia for allegedly supplying two truckloads of weapons to the semi-autonomous region of Puntland. The Somali government claims that these unauthorized arms shipments violate Somalia's sovereignty and pose a threat to regional stability. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud emphasized the government's zero-tolerance policy on arms trading, stating that all imports, exports, and sales of weapons are strictly prohibited, with violators facing legal repercussions. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has called for an immediate end to these shipments and urged international support for peace in the Horn of Africa. Ethiopia has yet to respond to these accusations.
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Successful agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Formal peace agreement signed • 25%
Economic cooperation established • 25%
Military cooperation established • 25%
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Agreement on port access terms • 25%
Joint economic projects • 25%
Security cooperation agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Turkey successfully mediates • 25%
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Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
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No agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Talks resumed and agreement reached • 25%
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