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What will be the outcome of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in Kursk by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russian forces retain control • 25%
Ukrainian forces regain control • 25%
Stalemate/No clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from both Russian and Ukrainian Ministries of Defense, independent international news agencies, and verified reports from conflict monitoring organizations
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Putin: Russian Forces Stabilize, Push Back Enemy in Kursk and Donbass; Vostok Group Gains 7x5 km
Sep 5, 2024, 08:26 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Russian forces have stabilized the situation and started to push out the enemy from Russian territory. He emphasized that it is the sacred duty of Russia's forces to expel the enemy from the Kursk region. Putin also claimed that Ukrainian incursions aimed at halting Russian advances in Donbass have failed. He highlighted that Russian troops have made significant gains in Donbass and inflicted heavy losses on Ukrainian forces in Kursk, leading to a weakening of the enemy's positions. The Vostok group captured a 7 by 5 km triangle in one blow. These statements were made during the Eastern Economic Forum.
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Ukrainian control • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine regains all lost territory • 25%
Russia maintains current positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia controls Kursk • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate or ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate/No resolution • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%