Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Polish army's investigation into the object that violated its airspace on August 26, 2024, by October 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed as Russian Shahid 136 drone • 25%
Confirmed as another type of Russian drone • 25%
Confirmed as a missile • 25%
Unable to identify • 25%
Official statements from the Polish army or government
Story
Poland Reports Drone Airspace Violation, 25 Km Intrusion Amid Russian Attack on Ukraine
Aug 26, 2024, 11:54 AM
Poland's army has reported an airspace violation involving a military object, likely a drone, entering Polish airspace during a Russian attack on Ukraine. The incident occurred on Monday at 6:43 a.m., with the object reportedly flying 25 kilometers into Polish territory from the direction of Ukraine. Polish authorities have been searching for the object, which was detected by at least three radiolocation stations before losing radar contact. The object is suspected to be a Russian suicide drone, specifically a Shahid 136, although it was initially unclear whether it was a missile. The Polish army has deployed soldiers to locate the potential crash site of the drone.
View original story
Similar markets
Russian • 25%
Ukrainian • 25%
Other country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Drone found intact • 25%
Drone found damaged • 25%
Drone not found • 25%
Other • 25%
Belarusian fault • 25%
Russian fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Identified responsible parties • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental entry from Belarus • 25%
Deliberate entry from Belarus • 25%
Accidental entry from another country • 25%
Deliberate entry from another country • 25%
Accidental straying • 25%
Intentional incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone was on a reconnaissance mission • 25%
Drone was armed and posed a threat • 25%
Drone was mistakenly identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed IRGC involvement • 25%
Confirmed involvement of another group • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No public disclosure • 25%
Drone confirmed to be Russian • 25%
Drone confirmed to be non-Russian • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Investigation still ongoing • 25%
Accidental crash • 25%
Deliberate incursion • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%