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What will be the outcome of the 'Northern Arrows' operation by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete success • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Official statements from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), Israeli government, or credible news agencies
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Israel Initiates 'Northern Arrows' Ground Operation in Southern Lebanon; Intense Fighting with Hezbollah
Sep 30, 2024, 11:11 PM
Israel has commenced a limited ground operation in southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah positions, according to multiple reports and official statements. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have begun conducting 'limited, localized, and targeted raids' against Hezbollah infrastructure near the Israeli border, entering Lebanon at least three points along the border. This operation, allegedly named 'Northern Arrows,' involves IDF paratroops and commandos and aims to eliminate the threat posed by Hezbollah to Israeli border communities by clearing out militant infrastructure in the area. The IDF stated that the operation also seeks to facilitate the return of displaced Israelis to their homes. Prior to the operation, Israel had notified the United States of its intentions. The IDF has confirmed that intense fighting is underway with Hezbollah forces, supported by heavy artillery and air strikes on nearby towns.
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